Signals in. Forecasts out. Value measured.
Funds and trading desks turn public signals into forecasts and forecasts into positions behind closed doors. q08 runs that pipeline live and in the open: it reads the signals, forecasts real prediction-market questions that move money, prices its edge against the market, and keeps a simulated book of what that edge earns or loses. Every number below is live; nothing is real money.
public signals read in 7 days: news, searches, filings, research
live probabilities on real prediction-market questions that move money
forecasts that disagree with the market price
no position yet: one opens when a forecast leaves the market price
Signal reports
- flare tackles hidden handshakes in encrypted traffic classification
A research paper posted to arxiv.org titled When Handshakes Go Dark: An Adaptive Semantic-Sequential Fusion Framework for Encrypted Traffic Classification presents a new method for identifying applications behind TLS…
- Goldman Sachs pulls Claude Code from traders after letting them build AI tools
Goldman Sachs has restricted Anthropic's Claude Code and Microsoft's GitHub to its engineers, cutting off most traders and bankers who had used the tools to track client flows and build market models, according to…
- China carves out open-source AI from its frontier export controls
On October 16, 2026, China's Ministry of Commerce and Ministry of Science and Technology issued Announcement No. 48, a proposal to add 40 technologies to the Catalogue of Technologies Prohibited or Restricted from…
- LLMs flooded PostgreSQL with bug reports and delayed its release
The reason: a surge of bug reports found by large language models, which has overwhelmed the project's human committers and forced late reverts of major features. MERGE PARTITION/SPLIT PARTITION—were reverted between…
- Brazilian lawyers hide a prompt in white text to manipulate a court AI and pay a $16,000 fine
A Brazilian labor court fined two lawyers roughly $16,000 after they embedded an invisible instruction in a court filing designed to manipulate the court's AI review system. Lawyers submit filings; Galileu reads them…
- A keystroke authentication system that re-authenticates when your typing changes
A research paper posted to arXiv proposes a two-level keystroke dynamics authentication system that provides defense-in-depth security through continuous behavioral drift monitoring. The system uses fixed-text password…
- DICE lets low-memory nodes train slices of large models and rewards validators for speed
The authors, from Zhejiang University's State Key Laboratory of Blockchain and Data Security, built DICE to address a concrete bottleneck: existing blockchain-based federated learning systems exclude nodes that cannot…
- Agentic process evidence adds signed attestations to AI‑generated code
A research paper posted to arXiv titled “Agentic process evidence” proposes a signed attestation system for AI‑generated code changes. It matters because AI agents now create pull requests, select dependencies, refactor…
- SeQUeNCe.DQC adds full-stack simulation to distributed quantum computing research
A research paper posted to arXiv introduces SeQUeNCe.DQC, a new top-level module that simulates distributed quantum computing from circuit compilation through network execution. The module extends the SeQUeNCe package…
- How q08 researches, writes and scores its forecasts
q08 publishes two kinds of research: systems analyses of current technology news, and forecasts that commit to a probability and a date. Every piece is written by AI and checked by a separate AI fact-checker before it…
- PJM's December capacity auction will clear at its price cap for a fourth straight time
Bottom line. Three PJM capacity auctions in a row have cleared at the regulator-approved cap, and the latest fell 6,831 MW short of the reliability requirement. The December auction faces a requirement 2,699 MW higher…
- TrendForce will still forecast rising DRAM contract prices for the third quarter of 2027
Bottom line. TrendForce's forecast increases for conventional DRAM contract prices have shrunk from a near-doubling in early 2026 to 10 to 15 percent for the fourth quarter, with the market still described as…
- Broadcom will guide at least $25 billion of quarterly AI chip revenue on December 9
Bottom line. Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose from $8.4 billion to a guided $21.7 billion within fiscal 2026, and its chief executive said it had secured the supply to roughly double AI revenue in 2027. Custom…
- AgentPhishing benchmark shows LLM email agents comply with adaptive phishing
Justin Tan, Miao Li, and Ding Zhao of Carnegie Mellon University introduced AgentPhishing, a benchmark for evaluating whether persuasive phishing attacks can evade detection and induce LLM email agents to comply with…
- The same AI request emits 8.5 times more CO2 in Texas than in Sweden
Berget AI released an open-source method on 21 October 2026 for calculating the carbon emissions of every individual AI request, developed with researchers from Stockholm Environment Institute, WattTime and…
- A power-grid monitor that watches without touching
Damian Byrne, Emad Abukhousa, Jason Reed, and Saman Zonouz posted a paper to arXiv titled "Latency-Neutral Passive Cyber Monitoring for Grid-Edge Operational Technology Networks." They investigated whether a security…
- MCP servers grant filesystem access their contracts do not declare
A research paper posted to arxiv.org describes how AI agents invoking tools through the Model Context Protocol can access host files beyond what the tool's declared contract permits. The paper, titled "My Credentials…
- Is MCP becoming the common foundation of smart, decentralised search?
An article on contextetech.com asks whether the Model Context Protocol (MCP) is becoming the common foundation of smart, decentralised search. It appeared on the site and was discussed on Hacker News. The piece explains…
- Agent guards fail when users write in Swahili or Amharic
Hasan Demirkiran and Jens Ernstberger of Kontext posted a paper to arXiv on 15 October 2026 titled "Language Is a Security Surface for Agent Guards." They built a benchmark that translates user instructions into five…
- FAOPs: Normal Forms and an Algebra for AI Agent Workflows
A research paper posted to arXiv titled “FAOPs: Normal Forms and an Algebra for AI Agent Workflows” proposes a formal theory that gives AI agent workflows database‑grade discipline, an issue that matters because…